Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 6.729499e-05 0.000081 0.000095 0.000112 0.000131 0.000151 0.000175
2025-03-16 4.985496e-05 0.000067 0.000087 0.000111 0.000141 0.000174 0.000214
2025-03-23 4.071754e-05 0.000059 0.000082 0.000112 0.000148 0.000190 0.000243
2025-03-30 3.289745e-05 0.000052 0.000077 0.000111 0.000153 0.000205 0.000270
2025-04-06 2.637988e-05 0.000045 0.000071 0.000107 0.000155 0.000213 0.000289
2025-04-13 2.190569e-05 0.000041 0.000068 0.000107 0.000159 0.000225 0.000313
2025-04-20 1.700291e-05 0.000035 0.000061 0.000101 0.000157 0.000228 0.000325
2025-04-27 1.425593e-05 0.000032 0.000059 0.000101 0.000161 0.000239 0.000347
2025-05-04 1.209730e-05 0.000029 0.000057 0.000101 0.000165 0.000251 0.000370
2025-05-11 1.067347e-05 0.000028 0.000056 0.000103 0.000173 0.000266 0.000397
2025-05-18 9.302689e-06 0.000026 0.000055 0.000105 0.000178 0.000280 0.000423
2025-05-25 7.318038e-06 0.000023 0.000051 0.000101 0.000177 0.000283 0.000435
2025-06-01 5.402461e-06 0.000019 0.000047 0.000097 0.000176 0.000289 0.000452
2025-06-08 4.184864e-06 0.000017 0.000045 0.000096 0.000180 0.000301 0.000478
2025-06-15 3.337855e-06 0.000016 0.000043 0.000097 0.000185 0.000315 0.000507
2025-06-22 2.527475e-06 0.000014 0.000041 0.000096 0.000188 0.000325 0.000531
2025-06-29 1.780580e-06 0.000012 0.000038 0.000093 0.000188 0.000331 0.000549
2025-07-06 1.318735e-06 0.000011 0.000036 0.000092 0.000191 0.000342 0.000574
2025-07-13 8.010188e-07 0.000009 0.000033 0.000087 0.000187 0.000342 0.000583
2025-07-20 5.659527e-07 0.000008 0.000031 0.000087 0.000190 0.000353 0.000608
2025-07-27 3.993135e-07 0.000007 0.000030 0.000087 0.000194 0.000365 0.000635
2025-08-03 3.053629e-07 0.000007 0.000030 0.000089 0.000201 0.000382 0.000669
2025-08-10 2.198185e-07 0.000006 0.000030 0.000090 0.000207 0.000397 0.000701